$\mathbf{N}$
Patients
Group 1 (Active Treatment)
Group 2 (Placebo)
Group 3 (No Treatment / Natural History)
$\Delta_{\text{Drug}}$
$\Delta_{\text{Placebo}}$
$\text{Baseline}$
$\text{Drug Effect} = G_1 - G_2$
$\text{Placebo Effect} = G_2 - G_3$